Capital Market Outlook

Sustained improvement in the market will likely depend on reducing uncertainty, especially around the impact of tariff policy. Meanwhile, a weaker dollar could actually be good news, especially for investors considering foreign markets.

July 28, 2025

Cautious optimism about Federal Reserve easing, fiscal stimulus and the potential effects of the AI revolution could produce potential opportunities for risk assets, fixed income investments and more.

July 21, 2025

The shift from consumer-driven to investment-driven growth and the uneven penetration of Artificial Intelligence across sectors could yield potential opportunities for investors. The future of the copper market looks less clear, however.

July 14, 2025

Pro-business government measures, a tame Federal Reserve, and an extended economic cycle bode well for equity markets. With momentum building for further upside following the first-half turnaround, we suggest staying invested.

July 7, 2025

With earnings season approaching, a focus on five key variables can give investors a fuller picture of a company's health. For a broader market perspective, investors should consider the U.S. economy's dominance and the role of foreign investment.

June 30 2025

The U.S. economy appears to be in a mid-cycle “soft patch," but a resilient labor market has eased slowdown concerns. As rising geopolitical turmoil and protectionism dominate global headlines, gold and other commodities stand to benefit.

June 23, 2025

Depreciation in the U.S. dollar could drive significant earnings growth for U.S. multinationals across sectors, particularly in a newly resurgent European Union. And as everyday technology becomes more reliant on Artificial Intelligence, access to water will be key.

June 16, 2025

While strong underlying fundamentals suggest the market expansion is likely to continue, tariff uncertainty continues to weigh on technology stocks. In the U.S. Treasury market, a potential buyers' strike merits close watching.

June 9, 2025

Amid a flood of daily data, we encourage investors to look deeper for what matters. Easing policy uncertainty could benefit stocks, but we're watching how the trade wars could impact US data.

June 2, 2025

Beyond the daily noise, we still see sturdy fundamentals that support market growth and potential outperformance among risk assets. Interest rates, tariff-related pressures and the infrastructure implications of manufacturing remain concerns, however.

May 27, 2025

Trade developments have reduced the odds of a recession. As economists scramble to revise their forecasts, we're keeping an eye on brand nationalism and the evolving outlook for small businesses.

May 19, 2025

We believe the adjustment to the new trade framework argues for portfolio diversification and a focus on quality assets. Meanwhile, performance in Asian markets depends on a range of factors and the U.S. tourist industry sees signs of a coming slowdown.

May 12, 2025